Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety chief awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie (Updated: Aug. 21, 2026): There are submissions for the supporting men of the limited races that have multiple players from the same show, which leaves it open to a potential surprise winner.

Jason Bateman, “DTF St. Louis” | “No One’s Normal. It Just Looks That Way From Across the Street”

Four nominations this year, more than anyone, and he submits the same episode as Richard Jenkins and Joy Sunday. Bateman has won for acting, directing and producing across his career and remains the industry’s most efficient multi-hyphenate. Splitting a category with your own co-stars is the only thing that has ever slowed him down.

Richard Gadd, “Half Man” (HBO Max) | “Episode 6”

Three Emmys in one night for “Baby Reindeer” in 2024, and now the follow-up that the industry has been waiting to judge. Gadd submits the final hour, which is where his writing always lands hardest. Repeat winners in limited are rare because the field resets annually. He is the exception the field was built for.

David Harbour, “DTF St. Louis” | “Amphezyne”

A dual nominee this year and repeatedly nominated for “Stranger Things” without ever converting. Harbour smartly submits a different episode than Bateman and Jenkins, which is the only way to escape the internal traffic. In a category where his own show holds three of six slots, differentiation is the entire strategy.

Richard Jenkins, “DTF St. Louis” | “No One’s Normal. It Just Looks That Way From Across the Street”

A previous winner in this category for “Olive Kitteridge” and a two-time Oscar nominee, Jenkins shares his tape with Jason Bateman. He is the elder statesman of the field and the kind of nominee voters check off without much deliberation. Three nominees, two on the same episode. The math gets ugly fast.

Charles Melton, “Beef” (Netflix) | “It Will Stay This Way and You Will Obey”

A first-time nominee and a dual nominee this year, submitting the same hour as Youn Yuh-jung. Melton’s post-“Riverdale” reinvention has been one of the more genuinely impressive career pivots of the decade, and “Beef” is a franchise that has already minted Emmy winners once. Precedent matters here.

Nick Offerman, “Death by Lightning” (Netflix) | “Destiny of the Republic”

A guest actor winner in 2023 and a dual nominee this year across comedy and limited, which is a rare and slightly absurd achievement for a man best known as Ron Swanson. Playing 19th-century political tragedy is not the assignment anyone would have predicted. That is exactly why the tape works.

The final voting runs from Aug. 17-26, leading into the Creative Arts Awards and Governors Gala on Sept. 5–6, culminating with the Emmy Awards ceremony on Sept. 14 on NBC.